The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FH Hafnarfjordur 61.1%
Draw 20.5%
Thor Akureyri 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
22.9%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
20.9%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FH Hafnarfjordur's performance.
Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thor Akureyri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FH Hafnarfjordur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thor Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
FH Hafnarfjordur - Thor Akureyri Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
FH Hafnarfjordur will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 3. Frostason K. S. 4. Carlsson T. 6. Gunnarsson G. (C) 19. Jonsson A. 23. Robertsson T. 37. Helgason B. 14. Birgisson A. 9. Finnbogason Kr. 7. Halldorsson K. 33. Bjornsson U.
1. Stefansson A. (C) 31. Fridriksson K. 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 20. Ottosson V. 15. Kristjansson K. 4. Runarsson H. 8. Halldorsson E. 23. Kristjansson I. 22. Hlynsson A. 17. Gislason F.
Substitutes
24. Arnarsson D. (G) 12. Czernik A. (G) 32. Gislason G. 38. Gudmundsson A. 10. Hjaltested S. 2. Jonsson B. 31. Ketilsson K. 40. Saevarsson R. 66. Vidarsson V.
21. Baldvinsson E. 27. Bjarnason O. S. 30. Hjorvarsson N. 18. Ingason S. 26. Jonsson K. 28. Lalic F. (G) 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 11. Vioarsson S.
Coaches
Gudjonsson J.
Hoskuldsson S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Fridriksson K. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Bjornsson U. ⚽,
33', Helgason B. 🟨,
41', Carlsson T. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
45', Affi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bjornsson U. ↓, Hjaltested S. ↑,
53', Fridriksson K. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
59', Frostason K. S. ↓, Jonsson B. ↑,
65', Hlynsson A. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Halldorsson E. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Finnbogason Kr. ↓, Gislason G. ↑,
81', Gislason F. ↓, Ragnarsson R. ↑,
81', Runarsson H. ↓, Baldvinsson E. ↑,
85', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 5.
Hafnarfjordur has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Thor has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Hafnarfjordur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).