Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)


	Thor Akureyri		Leiknir Reykjavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4	4.4
	1.54	4.15	4.45
	1.45	4.76	5.58
	1.55	4	4.8
	1.48	4.35	5.16	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	4.29 ↓ (4.5)	4.98 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
60.4%

Draw
21.3%

Leiknir Reykjavík
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

20.8%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

20.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Leiknir Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Leiknir R will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Leiknir R (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Akureyri will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Leiknir R (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.	1. Olafsson O. (G) 7. Arnason R. 44. Einarsson A. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 4. Hryniewicki P. 55. Kjartansson A. 10. Veseli S. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
22. Helgason P. 18. Ingason S. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 27. Sindrason A.	11. Agustsson G. 27. Benediktsson E. 3. Bogdanovic B. 14. Jonsson D. 12. Petursson H. (G) 50. Robertsson A. 9. Tjorvason J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Magnusson A. ⚽, Bayiha C. (A),
13', Victor R. 🟨,
15', Vladisavljevic D. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Guardia J. ⚽, Victor R. (A),
32', Magnusson A. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
42', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
43', Kjartansson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guardia J. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
58', Hlifarsson K. S. 🟨,
67', Einarsson A. ↓, Tjorvason J. ↑,
68', 🟨,
69', Victor R. ↓, Sigurjonsson O. ↑,
69', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Sindrason A. ↑,
75', Hlifarsson K. S. ↓, Jonsson D. ↑,
84', Vladisavljevic D. ↓, Bogdanovic B. ↑,
86', Kjartansson A. ↓, Agustsson G. ↑,
86', Ragnarsson R. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Thor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Thor won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
03.07.25	Thor Akureyri - Throttur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	0:5 ✺
22.06.25	Thor Akureyri - Selfoss	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Vestri - Thor Akureyri	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
14.06.25	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL
- Leiknir Reykjavík
Icelandic Division 1
04.07.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
27.06.25	Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Njarðvík	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	IR Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
09.06.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Völsungur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
09.05.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	1:4
24.08.24	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	5:1
22.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:2
29.07.23	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0
20.05.23	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0
Icelandic Cup
16.05.23	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:1
Icelandic Division 1
15.08.20	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	3:3

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