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Current Win Probability
Thor Akureyri 57.2%
Draw 23.4%
Njarðvík 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
22.6%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
21.6%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.
Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Njarðvík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Njarðvík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thor Akureyri - Njarðvík Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 11. Bayiha C. 24. Geirsson Y. 37. Gunnarsson S. 8. Halldorsson E. 25. Jakobsen C. 15. Kristjansson K. 10. Magnusson A. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Victor R.
1. Fridriksson A. (G) 2. Aronsson D. 9. Diouck O. 11. Gudnason F. 6. Hjorleifsson A. 7. Joao Ananias 19. Jonsson T. (C) 3. Markusson S. 13. Radic D. 16. Thordarson S. 21. Valgeirsson V.
Substitutes
2. Arnarsson A. 17. Gislason F. 18. Ingason S. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.
29. Al Mosawe A. 18. Bjornsson B. 8. Hogg K. 10. Johannsson V. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 5. Magnusson A. 17. Thasaphong S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gunnarsson S. ⚽, Magnusson A. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Victor R. ⚽, Kristjansson K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Thordarson S. 🟨,
65', Magnusson A. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
65', Bayiha C. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
70', Valgeirsson V. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Kristjansson K. ⚽, Gunnarsson S. (A),
73', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Johannsson V. ↑,
73', Gudnason F. ↓, Al Mosawe A. ↑,
77', Affi Y. 🟨,
78', Radic D. ↓, Thasaphong S. ↑,
80', Geirsson Y. 🟨,
81', Gunnarsson S. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
88', Victor R. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Jonsson T. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 1.
Thor is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Njarðvík is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Thor has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Thor won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
Watch
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Stefansson A. (C) 
Affi Y. 
Bayiha C. 
Jakobsen C. 
Victor R. 
Diouck O. 
Joao Ananias 
Radic D. 
Hogg K. 
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