Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.30
	2.72	3.4	2.32	Watch
	2.93	3.6	2.41
	2.63	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.35
	3.02	3.56	2.19	Watch
	2.8	3.55	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.27)	3.54 ↑ (3.54)	2.33 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
33.3%

Draw
26.5%

Beijing Guoan
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

25.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun 4. Yang Fan 18. Cordoba A. 3. Wang Zhenghao 31. Sun Ming-Him 30. Wang Qiuming (C) 10. Salvador C. 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A. 7. Guilherme Schettine	34. Hou Sen (G) 21. Yue Tze-Nam 27. Wang Gang 24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 26. Bai Yang 7. Serginho 23. Dawhan 8. Konte A. 47. Deng Jiefu 29. Abreu F. (C) 9. Zhang Yuning
Substitutes
24. Chen Zhexuan 28. Guo Hao 14. Huang Jiahui 20. Ji Shengpan 19. Liu J. 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 6. Wang Xianjun 17. Wu Xinghan 11. Xie Weijun 26. Zhang Haoran (G)	37. Cao Yongjing 41. Cheng Xi 30. Fan Shuangjie 36. Jia Feifan 58. Jiang Z. 4. Li Lei 31. Liu S. (G) 18. Wang Yu 43. Xiaoyu X. 17. Yang Liyu 50. Zhang H. 10. Zhang Xizhe
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Montgomery N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Yue Tze-Nam (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Dawhan ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Wang Qiuming ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑,
46', Yang Fan ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
46', Zhang Yuning ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Cao Yongjing ⚽,
53', 0 - 4, Abreu F. ⚽, Serginho (A),
62', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Liu J. ↑,
62', Serginho ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
62', Wang Gang ↓, Fan Shuangjie ↑,
63', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Liu J. ⚽,
79', Abdugheni Abduhamit ↓, Li Lei ↑,
79', Abreu F. ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
84', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
88', Cao Yongjing 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Beijing Guoan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Beijing Guoan could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Ramos G. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Wu Shaocong (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
09.08.26	Shandong Taishan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LWWWW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
07.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Beijing Guoan - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
25.04.26	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4
03.08.25	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:2
02.04.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	2:2
21.07.24	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0
30.04.24	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	0:1
09.08.23	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	0:0
10.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:1

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