The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beijing Guoan 66.5%
Draw 20.5%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
22.3%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
21.8%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Hou Sen (G) 27. Wang Gang 5. Ramos G. 26. Bai Yang 4. Li Lei 37. Cao Yongjing 8. Konte A. 23. Dawhan 11. Lin Liangming 9. Zhang Yuning (C) 7. Serginho
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun (C) 14. Huang Jiahui 3. Wang Zhenghao 6. Wang Xianjun 17. Wu Xinghan 24. Chen Zhexuan 5. Grau J. 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A. 20. Ji Shengpan
Substitutes
24. Abdugheni Abduhamit 6. Chi Zhongguo 47. Deng J. 30. Fan Shuangjie 16. Feng Boxuan 36. Jia Feifan 35. Jiang Wenhao 18. Wang Yu 38. Wei J. 21. Yue Tze-Nam 39. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 10. Zhang Xizhe
39. Cai Chengjun 18. Cordoba A. 7. Guilherme Schettine 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 30. Wang Qiuming 11. Xie Weijun 4. Yang Fan 26. Zhang Haoran (G)
Coaches
Montgomery N.
Yu Genwei
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
36', Ji Shengpan ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
37', Wang Xianjun ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
43', 0 - 1, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Wang Zhenghao (A),
45+4', 0 - 2, Xadas ⚽, Ba Dun (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Wang Qiuming ↑,
56', Wang Qiuming 🟨,
57', Ramos G. 🟨,
57', Cao Yongjing ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Li Lei (A),
68', 2 - 2, Lin Liangming ⚽,
71', 2 - 3, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
72', Huang Jiahui ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
76', Lin Liangming ↓, Deng J. ↑,
76', Wang Gang ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
83', Wu Xinghan ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
90+7', Zhang Xizhe 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
Beijing Guoan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Beijing Guoan is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Foot Injury)
Nkololo B.
(Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Cordoba A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Abreu F.
(Inactive)
Wu Shaocong
(Inactive)
Yang Liyu
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
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Hou Sen (G) 
Ramos G. 
Konte A. 
Dawhan 
Grau J. 
Yue Tze-Nam 
Montgomery N. 
