The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldosivi 38.4%
Draw 32.8%
San Martín de San Juan 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
33.3%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
34.7%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.
San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
50%
40%
Aldosivi - San Martín de San Juan Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 10%). San Martín will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldosivi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Martín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Moya S. 20. Cabral Y. 28. Roman F. 7. Guzman N. 5. Bochi R. 27. Gino F. 8. Serrago T. 40. Giani J. 22. De La Vega F.
1. Borgogno M. (C) 16. Portillo A. 29. Lecanda T. 6. Recalde L. 39. Orihuela M. 27. Fernandez T. 21. Watson N. 49. Gonzalez D. 8. Tijanovich H. 10. Gonzalez S. 11. Maestro I.
Substitutes
51. Garcia M. 4. Gonzalez R. 3. Guerrico I. 2. Kummer T. 15. Laquidain S. 21. Leiva T. 6. Mottes G. 17. Moyano S. (G) 11. Palavecino A. 18. Preciado E. 19. Rami F. 24. Villarreal A.
3. Alvarez L. 32. Anselmo F. 34. Barrera S. 20. Burgos E. 2. Caseres R. 15. Cavallaro J. 28. Iacobellis M. 22. Jaurena S. 4. Molina A. 14. Pablo Garcia 18. Salle S. 13. Velazco M. (G)
Coaches
Farre G.
Romagnoli L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Lecanda T. 🟨,
21', De La Vega F. 🟨,
45', Tijanovich H. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', De La Vega F. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
60', Maestro I. ↓, Barrera S. ↑,
61', Watson N. ↓, Jaurena S. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Barrera S. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
65', Cerato G. 🟨,
69', Serrago T. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
69', Guzman N. ↓, Preciado E. ↑,
74', Gonzalez S. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
74', Alvarez L. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Moya S. ⚽, Cabral Y. (A),
77', 2 - 1, Rami F. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
80', Recalde L. ↓, Anselmo F. ↑,
80', Tijanovich H. ↓, Cavallaro J. ↑,
88', Moya S. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Fernandez T. (Pen),
89', 3 - 2, Giani J. ⚽,
90+1', Giani J. 🟨,
90+3', Moya S. ↓, Kummer T. ↑,
90+3', Giani J. ↓, Mottes G. ↑,
90+9', 4 - 2, Preciado E. (Pen),
90+10', Preciado E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 2.
Aldosivi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, San Martín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Aldosivi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia M.
(Inactive)
Godoy F.
(Foot Injury)
Rodriguez E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in San Martín: Diarte L.
(Injury)
Pelaitay N.
(Injury)
Toloza F.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aldosivi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldosivi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
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Carranza J. (C) 
Roman F. 
Gino F. 
Preciado E. 
Villarreal A. 
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