Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Tigres de Álica		Mineros de Fresnillo

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.95	5.6
	1.58	4.17	5.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	4.06 ↑ (3.5)	5.35 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres de Álica
59.9%

Draw
22.8%

Mineros de Fresnillo
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.9%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres de Álica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres de Álica's performance.

Mineros de Fresnillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres de Álica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mineros de Fresnillo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12).

Tigres de Álica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mineros de Fresnillo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tigres de Álica is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tigres de Álica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tigres de Álica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tigres de Álica	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Ensenada	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Zapotlanejo - Tigres de Álica	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Tigres de Álica - Alacranes de Durango	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	La Piedad - Tigres de Álica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Tecos FC - Mineros de Fresnillo	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Guerreros de Autlán	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tuzos UAZ	1:4 ✺
05.09.25	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.01.25	Tigres de Álica - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
14.09.24	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica	0:1

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