Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 25

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Tirsense		Ribeirão

	1	X	2
	1.24	5	10
	1.25	4.75	12
	1.26	4.84	12.04
	1.23	4.85	12.04
	1.22	5.15	12.2
	1.25	4.75	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	4.89 ↑ (4.68)	11.71 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
73.5%

Draw
18.7%

Ribeirão
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirsense's performance.

Ribeirão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ribeirão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribeirão could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Moura R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Araujo P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Tirsense is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.03.24	Limianos - Tirsense	0:3 ✺
09.03.24	Pevidem - Tirsense	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Tirsense - Montalegre	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Brito - Tirsense	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Tirsense - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLW
- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.03.24	Ribeirão - Montalegre	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Brito - Ribeirão	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ribeirão - Portosantense	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Marítimo B - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Ribeirão - Camacha	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.12.23	Ribeirão - Tirsense	0:1

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