Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tiverton Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	3.9	3.6	1.72
	3.67	3.67	1.85
	4.01	3.84	1.72	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.75
	4.04	3.58	1.74
	3.14	4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.86)	3.7 ↓ (4)	1.75 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
23.3%

Draw
24.6%

Havant & Waterlooville
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

23.2%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

22.4%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Seager R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 2, Thorpe H. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Tiverton is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Havant is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Havant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tiverton has had a series of away games.

Havant could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tiverton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Havant & Waterlooville - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.26%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Berkhamsted - Tiverton Town	3:0 ✺
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Uxbridge - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Weymouth - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Basingstoke Town	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	4:2
English Southern League South Division
04.03.25	Tiverton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
20.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:1

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