Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 33

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Poole Town		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.35	2.58
	2.57	3.41	2.49
	2.52	3.62	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.45
	2.5	3.32	2.43
	2.21	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.17)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	2.54 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
37.3%

Draw
26.9%

Gloucester City
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Poole Town - Gloucester City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Gloucester (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Siddall R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Simpson K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Poole	13	9	1	3	24:15	9	28
20	Gloucester	11	2	4	5	15:19	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Poole Town - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Poole Town - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Gloucester City - Wimborne Town	5:0 ✺
14.02.26	Chertsey Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Gloucester City - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Gosport Borough - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sholing - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2
22.02.25	Poole Town - Gloucester City	0:1
30.11.24	Gloucester City - Poole Town	4:1
English National League South
03.02.18	Gloucester City - Poole Town	2:2
28.10.17	Poole Town - Gloucester City	0:3

Poole Town - Gloucester City