Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Totton

	1	X	2
	4.8	4	1.51
	5	4.1	1.52
	4.91	4.51	1.54
	5.12	4.33	1.57
	5.1	4	1.53
	5	4.1	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (4.92)	4.17 ↑ (4.01)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
18.3%

Draw
21.9%

Totton
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

22.2%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Tiverton Town - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Down T. 🟥,
90+2', 0 - 1, Blair T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Tiverton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Totton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Totton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Totton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Tiverton Town - Walton & Hersham	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Basingstoke Town - Tiverton Town	1:3 ✺
20.11.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
09.11.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Hungerford Town - Tiverton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLT
- AFC Totton
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Biggleswade Town - Totton	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.12.24	Totton - Chertsey Town	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Lewes - Totton	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Marlow - Totton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Totton - Tiverton Town	5:0
09.03.24	Tiverton Town - Totton	1:2
English FA Trophy
03.10.15	Tiverton Town - Totton	2:0

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