Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Hanwell Town

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.25	2.25
	2.83	3.43	2.35	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.84	3.08	2.35
	2.85	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.3)	3.29 ↓ (3.61)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
33.8%

Draw
27.7%

Hanwell Town
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiverton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Pendlebury A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, Pendlebury A. ⚽,
64', Seabrook H. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 2.

Recent performances by Tiverton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hanwell Town's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tiverton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7:10	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Tiverton Town - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Hanwell Town - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.78%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
03.01.26	Tiverton Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Plymouth Parkway - Tiverton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Farnham Town - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Poole Town - Tiverton Town	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWLT
- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
10.01.26	Hanwell Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
06.01.26	Basingstoke Town - Hanwell Town	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Hanwell Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Walton & Hersham - Hanwell Town	5:0 ✺
16.12.25	Hanwell Town - Hungerford Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
08.11.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	2:0
18.01.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:1
09.11.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2
23.03.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	2:0
25.11.23	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:2
01.02.23	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	2:3
27.08.22	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:0

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