Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Lewes		Totton

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.2	3.5	2.09
	3.11	3.54	2.08
	3.18	3.58	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.15	3.46	2.1
	3.2	3.5	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.4)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	2.08 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
29.2%

Draw
26.5%

Totton
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lewes's form might have worsened.

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Totton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Totton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lewes - Totton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Austin C. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, Lee T. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Lewes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Totton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Hendon - Lewes	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Chatham Town - Lewes	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Lewes - Ashford United	3:2 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Horsham - Lewes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWL
- AFC Totton
English Southern League South Division
02.11.24	Marlow - Totton	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Totton - Taunton Town	5:1 ✺
19.10.24	Totton - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Totton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTW

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