Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Spanish Town Police		Tivoli Gardens

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.8	1.58
	5.57	4.14	1.51
	5.64	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5	4	1.5
	5.69	4.14	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (5.24)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spanish Town Police
17.3%

Draw
22.5%

Tivoli Gardens
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

23.3%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

20.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spanish Town Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spanish Town Police than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Garnett T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Spanish Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Spanish Town has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tivoli Gardens is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Spanish Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Spanish Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spanish Town Police FC
Jamaica National Premier League
02.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Arnett Gardens - Spanish Town Police	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Spanish Town Police - Harbour View	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cavalier - Spanish Town Police	5:0 ✺
05.02.26	Dunbeholden - Spanish Town Police	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.8 LWWLW
- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
08.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
12.01.26	Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens	0:1
08.09.25	Tivoli Gardens - Spanish Town Police	2:1

Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide