Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Mount Pleasant

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.45	1.6
	4.89	3.5	1.73
	6.02	3.91	1.54	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.7
	4.68	3.44	1.77
	5.75	3.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↓ (6.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
17.7%

Draw
26.2%

Mount Pleasant
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

25.3%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

24.8%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mount Pleasant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mount Pleasant than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mount Pleasant could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Anglin J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 1, Lewis A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mount Pleasant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mount Pleasant is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 9:31. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
9	Mount Pleasant	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
01.03.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Harbour View - Tivoli Gardens	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Tivoli Gardens - Treasure Beach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLTT
- Mount Pleasant Football Academy
Jamaica National Premier League
01.03.26	Mount Pleasant - Portmore United	1:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mount Pleasant - Harbour View	4:1 ✺
19.02.26	Harbour View - Mount Pleasant	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mount Pleasant - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
11.02.26	Mount Pleasant - Treasure Beach	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
11.12.25	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	5:0
30.03.25	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
26.01.25	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	0:1
27.10.24	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	1:0
18.02.24	Mount Pleasant - Tivoli Gardens	1:0
23.11.23	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	0:1
26.02.23	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	0:2

Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide