Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Edward Seaga Sports Complex (Kingston)


	Tivoli Gardens		Arnett Gardens

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.3	2.22
	2.84	3.41	2.27
	2.84	3.56	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.25
	2.77	3.59	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.63)	3.39 ↓ (3.57)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Gardens
32.7%

Draw
27%

Arnett Gardens
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.4%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Arnett Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnett Gardens than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Arnett Gardens will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Shepherd J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Arnett Gardens has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.9:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tivoli	4	2	2	0	7:2	5	8
8	Arnett Gardens	4	1	1	2	8:7	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.26	Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLT
- Arnett Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
16.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Racing United	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Molynes United	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Montego Bay United - Arnett Gardens	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Arnett Gardens - Spanish Town Police	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Arnett Gardens - Portmore United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
08.02.26	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	0:2
20.10.25	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	1:2
07.04.25	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	0:0
03.02.25	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	3:5
11.11.24	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	2:1
05.02.24	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	3:1
12.11.23	Arnett Gardens - Tivoli Gardens	1:3

Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide