Match Info

First League - Round 10

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Tobol 2		Batyr Ekibastuz

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.33	1.57
	3.85	4.35	1.62
	4.22	5.04	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.22)	4.57 ↓ (5.04)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol 2
22.5%

Draw
19.8%

Batyr Ekibastuz
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

18.1%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

17.6%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Batyr Ekibastuz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol 2 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Musaev E. ⚽, Bakitzhanov A. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Mukhit A. ⚽, Orazbek A. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Musaev E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 2, Mukhit A. ⚽, Al Khadzh N. (A),
59', 2 - 3, Mukhit A. ⚽, Aitpakayev A. (A),
83', 3 - 3, Zhaylaubaev A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).

Tobol 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Batyr has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Batyr is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	FC Batyr	23	7	5	11	31:53	-22	26
13	Tobol 2	24	4	5	15	44:61	-17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay 2
Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Kairat 2 - Tobol 2	7:0 ✺
27.05.26	Tobol 2 - Taraz	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Khan Tengri - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Tobol 2 - Astana 2	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Tobol 2 - Arys	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLW
- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
12.06.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Arys	1:1 ✺
27.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:2 ✺
15.05.26	Jaiyq - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Batyr Ekibastuz - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTWT

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