Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport


	Tobol Kostanay		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.6	3.2	2.7
	2.45	3.15	2.9
	2.51	3.22	2.98
				Watch
	2.39	3.15	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.34)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	2.88 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
37.9%

Draw
29.5%

Zrinjski Mostar
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	19.4%	30.6%

Tobol Kostanay - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 18 - 50%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 33.7% – 66.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Tobol is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zrinjski is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zrinjski have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tobol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Cup
07.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.07.22	Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.07.22	Lincoln Red Imps - Tobol Kostanay	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
24.07.22	Tobol Kostanay - Makhtaaral	1:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Zrinjski Mostar
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
31.07.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Leotar Trebinje	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tirana	3:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
24.07.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.07.22	Tirana - Zrinjski Mostar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tobol Kostanay	1:0

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