Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Kostanay)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)


	Tobol Kostanay		Taraz

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5.25
	1.52	3.75	4.6
	1.54	3.85	5
	1.51	4.14	6.21
	1.55	3.5	5.5
	1.51	3.94	5.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.76)	3.83 ↑ (3.44)	5.37 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
59.4%

Draw
23.7%

Taraz
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

27.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tobol Kostanay - Taraz Predictions

Users Predictions: Tobol Kostanay will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tobol won 2.

Tobol has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taraz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tobol is a favorite.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Tobol won 14 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 44-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
07.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
31.07.22	Makhtaaral - Tobol Kostanay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- FC Taraz
Kazakh Cup
13.08.22	Makhtaaral - Taraz	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:5 ✺
30.07.22	Aktobe - Taraz	1:1 ✺
22.07.22	Taraz - Aktobe	0:0 ✺
16.07.22	Taraz - Makhtaaral	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
07.08.22	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:5
09.07.22	Taraz - Tobol Kostanay	6:1
Kazakh Premier League
19.09.21	Taraz - Tobol Kostanay	0:0
Kazakh Cup
10.07.21	Taraz - Tobol Kostanay	1:3
Kazakh Premier League
02.05.21	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	3:0
27.11.20	Tobol Kostanay - Taraz	2:0
26.09.20	Taraz - Tobol Kostanay	0:0

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