The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kochi United 28.6%
Draw 29.7%
Osaka 41.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32%
30.4%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
30.2%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Kochi United - Osaka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Murata Y. (G) 16. Kozuki S. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 88. Hama T. 14. Sekino G. 8. Takano Y. 44. Shimoda Y. 7. Kanehara A. 13. Kawata A. 73. Tanaka T.
1. Sugawara H. (G) 2. Sakamoto K. 5. Minakuchi Y. 25. Kuwako R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 11. Yoshida G. 14. Sumida S. 17. Morimura S. 95. Isa K. 29. Sugawara R.
Substitutes
26. Asano K. 17. Inose K. (G) 23. Matsumoto D. 11. Miyoshi R. 28. Nanamure A. 19. Origbaajo I. 10. Sasaki T. 77. Sato J. 5. Tadokoro R.
7. Kitsui T. 13. Mima K. 78. Nagano S. 38. Ogawa S. 9. Shimada T. 35. Shin K. 28. Toya T. 88. Umeda R. (G) 99. Vinicius Souza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Minakuchi Y. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Tachino S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Tanaka T. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
46', Sekino G. ↓, Nanamure A. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Isa K. ⚽,
58', Kawata A. ↓, Origbaajo I. ↑,
60', Isa K. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
60', Sugawara R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
66', Kanehara A. ↓, Sato J. ↑,
67', Murata Y. ↓, Inose K. ↑,
72', Morimura S. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
72', Kubo R. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Shimoda Y. (Own goal),
76', Sumida S. 🟨,
80', 0 - 4, Toya T. ⚽, Yoshida G. (A),
83', Sumida S. ↓, Ogawa S. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 18th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
Kochi United has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Osaka is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Osaka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Kochi United has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kochi United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).