Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Fujieda MYFC

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.1
	2.10	3.30	2.90
	2.1	3.4	3	Watch
	2.23	3.73	3.16
	2.14	3.65	3.09	Watch
	2.11	3.65	3.05
	2.05	3.42	3.07	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
43.6%

Draw
26.2%

Fujieda MYFC
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Fujieda MYFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Tochigi City - Fujieda MYFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harada Y. (G) 5. Okui R. (C) 3. Teruyama H. 17. Chinen T. 33. Inui T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 6. Kato Jo 24. Nishiya K. 11. Vasquez B. 93. Nguen T. 32. Koike Y.	24. Yoshida S. (G) 6. Okamoto T. 2. Matsuda K. (C) 3. Suzuki S. 7. Matsuki S. 66. Nagao Y. 41. Uehata U. 97. Aoki S. 17. Kawamoto R. 77. Kitahara M. 20. Kanemoto W.
Substitutes
99. Hiraoka M. 18. Kato M. 16. Kodama J. (G) 88. Masukake Y. 7. Mori T. 20. Pedro Augusto 15. Sato Y. 31. Simmons A. 23. Yoshida A.	21. Jones R. (G) 23. Kajikawa R. 26. Kawamoto T. 19. Kondo Y. 5. Kusumoto T. 11. Manabe H. 4. Nakagawa S. 13. Nakamura Y. 38. Shimano R.
Coaches
Imaya N.	Makino T.

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 9th).

Tochigi City has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fujieda MYFC has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tochigi City holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fujieda MYFC	11	3	5	3	13:11	2	14
17	Tochigi City	11	3	2	6	17:18	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Fujieda MYFC - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Tochigi City - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Tochigi City - Imabari	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Tochigi City - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
17.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLT

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