Match Info

J3 League - Round 19

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: City Football Station (Tochigi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi City		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	4.33
	1.62	3.7	4.35	Watch
	1.63	3.85	4.88
				Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.6
	1.63	3.7	4.67	Watch
	1.6	3.3	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	3.67 ↑ (3.1)	4.7 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi City
56%

Draw
24.7%

Ryūkyū
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

30.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

29.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi City's performance.

The chances for Ryūkyū have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tochigi City - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tochigi City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tochigi City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 20. Tosa R. 14. Sekino G. 77. Tanaka P. J. 99. Hiraoka M. 79. Saito K.	16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 4. Fujiharu H. 15. Araki R. 55. Koki Y. 24. Sato Y. 20. Nagai S. 18. Hiramatsu S. 13. Iwamoto S. 89. Takagi D.
Substitutes
1. Harada Y. (G) 33. Inui T. 16. Kato J. 28. Konishi K. 8. Mori T. 13. Oshima T. 90. Utaka P. 26. Utsugi S. 23. Yoshida A.	17. Einaga T. 39. Ihara A. 8. Iwabuchi R. 5. Kamiya K. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 23. Sota K. 47. Wade M. 22. Yamato Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Takagi D. ⚽, Araki R. (A),
30', Tosa R. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Hiraoka M. ⚽, Sekino G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 1, Sato Y. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Hiramatsu S. ⚽,
62', Nagai S. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
62', Koki Y. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
62', Takagi D. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
66', Tosa R. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
66', Saito K. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
72', Suzuki H. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
77', Sekino G. ↓, Konishi K. ↑,
77', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Oshima T. ⚽,
82', Iwamoto S. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
90+1', Sato Y. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
90+4', Einaga T. 🟨,
90+5', Okui R. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tochigi City is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Tochigi City - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Nara Club - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi City	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Tochigi City - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Ryūkyū - Gifu	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Ryūkyū - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
08.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ryūkyū	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW

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