Match Info

J3 League - Round 14

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Tochigi City

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.66
	4.7	3.55	1.66
	5.31	3.75	1.64
	5.04	3.56	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.7
	4.35	3.93	1.71	Watch
	4.7	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↓ (4.82)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
19.5%

Draw
25.7%

Tochigi City
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

25.4%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

24.2%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 34. Soga D. 21. Kawamura T. 11. Tojo A. 7. Ozawa H. 19. Miki N. 10. Togashi Y.	31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 5. Okui R. 10. Okaniwa Y. 20. Tosa R. 14. Sekino G. 77. Tanaka P. J. 90. Utaka P. 7. Suzuki R.
Substitutes
66. Dohi K. 14. Fukoin M. 18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 42. Kaneura M. 3. Nagano S. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 8. Tanaka K. 22. Yoshida I.	1. Harada Y. (G) 99. Hiraoka M. 33. Inui T. 16. Kato Jo 28. Konishi K. 8. Mori T. 40. Suzuki K. 26. Utsugi S. 23. Yoshida A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Sekino G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Suzuki R. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
58', Sekino G. ↓, Kato Jo ↑,
62', Togashi Y. ↓, Yoshida I. ↑,
62', Kawamura T. ↓, Fukoin M. ↑,
72', Tosa R. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
72', Utaka P. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
77', Kato Jo 🟨,
80', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
80', Miki N. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Jonjic M. (Own goal),
88', Tojo A. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
88', Maruyama S. ↓, Ikawa T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Recent form of Gainare Tottori has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tochigi City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gainare Tottori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tochigi City is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Veroskronos Tsuno - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWT
- Tochigi City FC
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Tochigi City - Gifu	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Tochigi City - Osaka	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi City	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Kochi United - Tochigi City	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWWW

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