Match Info

J2 League - Round 22

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Fujieda MYFC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.4	4.25	Watch
	1.82	3.62	4.66
				Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.78	3.42	4.37	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	4.24 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
51.2%

Draw
27.1%

Fujieda MYFC
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fujieda MYFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tokushima Vortis - Fujieda MYFC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 10. Sugimoto T. 99. Lucas Barcelos 16. Watari D.	41. Kitamura K. C. (G) 22. Hisadomi R. 5. Kusumoto T. 4. Nakagawa S. 33. Kawakami C. 6. Sese H. 17. Okazawa K. 19. Shimabuku K. 8. Asakura R. 14. Nakagawa K. 7. Matsuki S.
Substitutes
14. Hyon R. 4. Kaique 21. Nagai K. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 13. Nishino T. 11. Sugimori K. 24. Takada S. 9. Thonny Anderson 22. Yanagisawa K.	23. Kajikawa R. 50. Kaneko S. 2. Kawashima N. 27. Maeda S. 16. Mori Y. 13. Osone K. 1. Rokutan Y. (G) 71. Sakakibara K. 30. Seriu K.
Coaches
Masuda K.	Sudo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Okazawa K. ⚽, Kusumoto T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matsuki S. ↓, Kaneko S. ↑,
46', Kusumoto T. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
56', Aoki H. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
63', Watari D. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
63', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
68', Shimabuku K. ↓, Osone K. ↑,
78', Nakagawa K. ↓, Kawashima N. ↑,
78', Kawakami C. ↓, Maeda S. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Hisadomi R. ⚽, Asakura R. (A),
81', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Nishino T. ↑,
81', Sugimoto T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
85', Nakagawa S. 🟨,
90+3', Yamada N. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 13).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Fujieda MYFC has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tokushima is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
28.06.25	Mito HollyHock - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Tokushima Vortis - JEF United Chiba	3:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Tokushima Vortis - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWW
- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
28.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Imabari	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Fujieda MYFC - Baleine Shimonoseki	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.02.25	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	0:2
20.10.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fujieda MYFC	3:0
20.04.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
04.11.23	Tokushima Vortis - Fujieda MYFC	0:0
21.05.23	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	3:0

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