The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 40.3%
Draw 31.2%
JEF United Chiba 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
31%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
30.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Tokushima Vortis - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 4 - 40%). JEF United will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tokushima: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 3 - 60%). JEF United (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 10. Sugimoto T. 99. Lucas Barcelos 16. Watari D.
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Toriumi K. 13. Suzuki D. 15. Mae T. 18. Sugiyama N. 4. Taguchi T. 6. Eduardo 17. Hayashi M. 20. Ishikawa D. 9. Goya H.
Substitutes
14. Hyon R. 4. Kaique 21. Nagai K. (G) 40. Nagaki R. 11. Sugimori K. 24. Takada S. 9. Thonny Anderson 30. Tsuboi K. 22. Yanagisawa K.
29. Carlinhos 28. Kawano T. 44. Shinada M. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 7. Tanaka K. 14. Tsubaki N. 26. Ueda Y. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Masuda K.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Ishikawa D. ⚽, Taguchi T. (A),
26', Elsinho 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Takagi Y. ⚽, Sugimoto T. (A),
36', 2 - 1, Watari D. ⚽, Yamakoshi K. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Goya H. ⚽, Ishikawa D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
62', Hayashi M. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
62', Goya H. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Tanaka K. ⚽,
68', Yamada N. ↓, Kaique ↑,
68', Watari D. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
74', Sugiyama N. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
74', Taguchi T. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Kaique ⚽, Takagi Y. (A),
79', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
79', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
82', Eduardo 🟥,
84', Ishikawa D. ↓, Kawano T. ↑,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 0.
Tokushima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
JEF United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).