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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 57.1%
Draw 26.5%
Zweigen Kanazawa 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.6%
17.3%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.8%
16.8%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.
Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zweigen Kanazawa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zweigen Kanazawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Tokushima Vortis - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 4. Kaique 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 22. Yanagisawa K. 7. Kodama S. 10. Sugimoto T. 19. Miyazaki J. 11. Lucas Barcelos 9. Thonny Anderson
1. Shirai Y. (G) 20. Nagakura H. 38. Yamamoto N. 19. Terasaka S. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 26. Murata J. 23. Shinomiya Y. 18. Osawa T. 13. Shirawachi K. 9. Buwanika K.
Substitutes
31. Hasegawa T. (G) 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y. 6. Kanuma N. 20. Matsuda K. 97. Moyo M. 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S. 42. Takagi Y.
14. Ishihara T. 55. Matsumoto D. 29. Miyazaki K. 2. Nagamine Y. 8. Oyama K. 10. Patric 11. Sugiura K. 31. Ueda I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Buwanika K. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Miyazaki J. ⚽,
40', Shirawachi K. ↓, Nagamine Y. ↑,
42', Terasaka S. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Sugimoto T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
65', Kojima M. ↓, Ishihara T. ↑,
65', Buwanika K. ↓, Patric ↑,
75', Miyazaki J. ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
75', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
75', Thonny Anderson ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
75', Murata J. ↓, Oyama K. ↑,
75', Osawa T. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
78', Kajiya Y. 🟨,
80', Sugimoto T. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
90', Shinomiya Y. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,
90+3', Kodama S. ↓, Shigehiro T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 4.
Tokushima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kanazawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Tokushima is the team to beat.
We predict that Tokushima will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 1.2:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).