The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 62.3%
Draw 22.2%
Shonan Bellmare 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
26.5%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
25%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo's performance.
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shonan Bellmare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shonan Bellmare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 99. Gomez D. 8. Ko T. 3. Morishige M. 20. Nagano S. 39. Nakagawa T. 15. Omori R. 24. Scholz A. 44. Suzuki K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 71. Yamada F.
99. Kamifukumoto N. (G) 18. Ikeda M. 20. Ishibashi S. 77. Ishii H. 19. Nishino T. 25. Okuno H. 8. Ono K. 13. Shimoguchi W. 4. Tachi K. 14. Takahashi N. 30. Yamaguchi G.
Substitutes
7. Anzai S. 58. Goto W. (G) 4. Inamura H. 22. Ishihara H. 9. Marcelo Ryan 26. Nagakura M. 10. Sato K. 38. Tanaka K. 27. Tokiwa K.
26. Fukazawa Y. 9. Gonzalez F. 3. Hakamata Y. 41. Iwase H. (G) 38. Kozuki S. 5. Matsumoto H. 2. Matsumura S. 6. Takeda S. 17. Tamura S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Yamada F. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Nishino T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
46', Scholz A. ↓, Inamura H. ↑,
46', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
58', Yamaguchi G. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
58', Okuno H. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
58', Ishibashi S. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
58', Tachi K. 🟨,
61', Ishii H. 🟥,
64', Gomez D. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
64', Nagano S. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
66', Ikeda M. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Anzai S. ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, Nakagawa T. ⚽,
84', Nakagawa T. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 1.
Tokyo has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Shonan Bellmare has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tokyo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tokyo for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tokyo in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:21 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tokyo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Shonan Bellmare - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 23.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Tanaka H. (G) 
Gomez D. 
Scholz A. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Gonzalez F. 
