Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gamba Osaka		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.70	1.81	Watch
	3.90	3.70	1.83
	3.55	3.5	1.92	Watch
	3.83	3.85	1.99
	3.63	3.8	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.91
	3.77	3.77	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.01)	3.71 ↓ (3.9)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
25.3%

Draw
25.4%

Tokyo
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.9%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

23.3%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 15. Kishimoto T. 4. Nakatani S. (C) 2. Fukuoka S. 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 16. Suzuki T. 39. Sumi K. 11. Jebali I. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.	81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 5. Nagatomo Y. 7. Anzai S. 27. Tokiwa K. 8. Ko T. 19. Homma S. 9. Marcelo Ryan 26. Nagakura M.
Substitutes
20. Adams E. 18. Araki R. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 10. Kurata S. 27. Mito R. 47. Nakano S. 67. Sasaki S. 41. Toshida Y. 7. Usami T.	6. Bangnagande K. 22. Ishihara H. 3. Morishige M. 20. Nagano S. 39. Nakagawa T. 10. Sato K. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 33. Tawaratsumida K. 71. Yamada F.
Coaches
Myojin T.	Matsuhashi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Anzai S. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
46', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
46', Homma S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
46', Scholz A. ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Nagakura M. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
63', Jebali I. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
63', Hummet D. ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
67', Nagakura M. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
75', Meshino R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
76', Sumi K. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
79', Marcelo Ryan 🟨,
85', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,
89', Ishihara H. 🟨,
90+1', Bangnagande K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.

Gamba Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tokyo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tokyo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Handa R. (Knee Injury) Miura G. (Inactive) Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Inactive) Yokoi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo: Otani D. C. (Foot Injury) Vallys N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 9.9% Gamba Osaka: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	JEF United Chiba - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Gamba Osaka	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.06.25	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo	2:0
25.04.25	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	3:0
07.08.24	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo	0:0
26.05.24	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	0:1
01.10.23	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	3:0
11.06.23	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo	3:1
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Tokyo - Gamba Osaka	1:0

Upcoming Matches