Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.10	6.25	Watch
	1.50	4.33	5.75
	1.58	3.90	5.00	Watch
	1.52	4.64	6.36
	1.63	4.14	5.01	Watch
	1.48	4.60	6.25
	1.51	4.44	6.34	Watch
	1.47	4.50	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.74)	4.33 ↑ (3.6)	5.9 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tokyo
62.2%

Draw
21.8%

Kyoto Sanga
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo's performance.

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kyoto Sanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 10. Sato K. 27. Tokiwa K. 8. Ko T. 19. Homma S. 26. Nagakura M. 7. Anzai S.	90. Halls (G) 40. Ishida Y. 43. Weverton 50. Suzuki Y. 44. Sato K. 25. Yoon S. 6. Joao Pedro 77. Arai H. 38. Everton Maceio 48. Nakano R. 9. Rafael Elias (C)
Substitutes
22. Ishihara H. 9. Marcelo Ryan 3. Morishige M. 20. Nagano S. 5. Nagatomo Y. 39. Nakagawa T. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 33. Tawaratsumida K. 71. Yamada F.	10. Fukuoka S. 99. Honda F. 26. Kato R. 23. Kato T. 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 15. Nagata K. 1. Ota G. (G) 5. Tawiah H.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.	Popovic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Weverton 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Everton Maceio ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
50', Matsuda T. 🟨,
57', Arai H. 🟨,
62', Hashimoto K. ↓, Nagatomo Y. ↑,
62', Homma S. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
62', Anzai S. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
69', Matsuda T. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Muroya S. (A),
75', 2 - 0, Nagakura M. ⚽,
75', Rafael Elias ↓, Honda F. ↑,
75', Yoon S. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
75', Ishida Y. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
86', Muroya S. ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,
89', Nagakura M. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.

Tokyo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kyoto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Tokyo is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Tokyo: Otani D. C. (Foot Injury) Vallys N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Sakai K. (Injury)

We predict that Tokyo will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

FC Tokyo: 11.22% Kyoto: 1.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo - Nagano Parceiro	6:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
21.08.26	Tokyo - JEF United Chiba	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWT
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Maruyasu Okazaki	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
24.08.25	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	0:4
31.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo	3:0
24.08.24	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo	3:0
03.05.24	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	2:1
12.08.23	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	2:0
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo	1:3
26.03.23	Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga	5:0

Upcoming Matches