The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 61.4%
Draw 22.4%
Nagoya Grampus 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
24%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
23.4%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo's performance.
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagoya Grampus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagoya Grampus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.5%
5.3%
5.3%
Tokyo - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - FC Tokyo (1.53) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 4. Inamura H. 6. Bangnagande K. 7. Anzai S. 27. Tokiwa K. 8. Ko T. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 10. Sato K. 9. Marcelo Ryan
1. Schmidt D. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 55. Tokumoto S. 17. Uchida T. 15. Inagaki S. (C) 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
18. Hashimoto K. 22. Ishihara H. 3. Morishige M. 26. Nagakura M. 39. Nakagawa T. 15. Omori R. 44. Suzuki K. 1. Tanaka H. (G) 71. Yamada F.
36. Hagi H. (G) 33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 58. Koyamatsu T. 10. Mateus 14. Morishima T. 2. Nogami Y. 41. Ono M. 3. Sato Y.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ko T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Tawaratsumida K. ⚽, Bangnagande K. (A),
58', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
61', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mateus ↑,
61', Sato K. 🟨,
68', Ko T. 🟨,
70', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
75', Uchida T. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
75', Izumi R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
77', Sato K. ↓, Ishihara H. ↑,
77', Bangnagande K. ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
78', Matsuhashi R. 🟨,
79', Kimura Y. ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
90+3', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
90+5', Nakayama K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
Tokyo arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nagoya has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Tokyo is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Tokyo: Otani D. C.
(Foot Injury)
Vallys N.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Nagoya: Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg).
Doubtful / questionable for Nagoya: Asano Y.
(Inactive).
Our forecast points to a victory for Tokyo in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:21 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tokyo against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:6 goals (averaging 2:0.6 per game).
Australia
China
Japan
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Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 
Muroya S. (C) 
Scholz A. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Petrovic M. 
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