Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Tom Tomsk		SKA Khabarovsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.2	2.95	2.12
	3.1	2.95	2.17
	3.38	3.15	2.32
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.24	3.22	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.68)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	2.22 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Tomsk
28.3%

Draw
30.3%

SKA Khabarovsk
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.6%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tom Tomsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA Khabarovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tom Tomsk - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Recent matches Tom is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SKA Khabarovsk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SKA Khabarovsk will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tom won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tom won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Tomsk
Russian FNL
13.10.21	Tom Tomsk - Olimp Dolgoprudny	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Tom Tomsk	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Tom Tomsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:3 ✺
29.09.21	Spartak 2 Moscow - Tom Tomsk	3:1 ✺
25.09.21	Tom Tomsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLW
- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
13.10.21	Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
25.09.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Veles Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.04.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	1:1
28.10.20	Tom Tomsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:2
19.10.19	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	1:1
17.03.19	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	1:0
01.09.18	Tom Tomsk - SKA Khabarovsk	4:1
18.04.16	SKA Khabarovsk - Tom Tomsk	1:0
Russian FNL Cup
14.02.16	Tom Tomsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1

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