Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 9

Date: 10 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Volgar Astrakhan

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.51	4.55
	1.76	3.54	4.45	Watch
	1.77	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)	4.37 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
52.3%

Draw
26.5%

Volgar Astrakhan
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.6%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

20.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SKA Khabarovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Sugrobov V. (G) 9. Aliev S. 14. Bavin Y. 29. Charles Y. J. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 5. Musalov M. 31. Nikitin A. 96. Rukas T. 70. Savinov A. 7. Simonyan A. 13. Sosranov R.	71. Odoevski D. (G) 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 22. Khomukha I. 8. Klenkin D. 19. Kosarev K. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 90. Shakuro P. 20. Smirnov D. 31. Tkachuk D. 58. Zuev I.
Substitutes
57. Begun D. 88. Chavara M. 11. Gongapshev A. 78. Imamov I. (G) 19. Kutovoy M. 21. Nikitin K. 92. Podberezkin V. 17. Pokidyshev N. 33. Shipunov T. 8. Starodub D.	44. Anisimov A. 11. Bolonin A. 17. Lesnikov D. 10. Martovoy D. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 99. Smirnov O. (G) 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Sharonov R.	Pavlov S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 4.

Recent matches SKA Khabarovsk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volgar is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SKA Khabarovsk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match SKA Khabarovsk is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
03.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - SKA Khabarovsk	4:2 ✺
20.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Rodina Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWT
- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
02.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Khimki - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:1 ✺
06.08.23	Kuban Krasnodar - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
20.05.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:0
29.10.22	Volgar Astrakhan - SKA Khabarovsk	1:3
10.04.22	Volgar Astrakhan - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1
29.09.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
25.11.20	Volgar Astrakhan - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1
16.08.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0
23.04.17	Volgar Astrakhan - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0

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