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Current Win Probability
Fakel 69.3%
Draw 20.6%
SKA Khabarovsk 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
20.9%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
13.8%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-24.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA Khabarovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 55. Todorovic D. 5. Gabaraev A. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 23. Yakimov V. 18. Simonov K. 97. Magomedov B. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 19. Pusi B.
78. Imamov I. (C) 3. Pliev K. 21. Gurban G. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 29. Mukhin A. 7. Aliev K. 13. Yanov D. 91. Noskov E. 55. Aleynikov V. 19. Alcalde J. 50. Glotov S.
Substitutes
70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 95. Gaponov I. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 66. Patkovich N. 9. Turishchev M. 93. Uridia M.
63. Borisov D. 14. Bragin V. 8. Emeljanov R. 11. Gagloev A. 82. Ilyev D. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 40. Prishchepov R. 20. Tur J. A. 54. Vshivkov V.
Coaches
Vasilenko O.
Ushakhin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yakimov V. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
61', Glotov S. ↓, Ilyev D. ↑,
61', Noskov E. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
64', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
67', Magomedov B. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
72', Alcalde J. ↓, Gagloev A. ↑,
75', Zhuravlev Y. ↓, Uridia M. ↑,
77', Yanov D. ↓, Tur J. A. ↑,
77', Aliev K. ↓, Emeljanov R. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.
In recent matches, Fakel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
SKA Khabarovsk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Fakel is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Russia
Watch
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Frolkin D. (G) 
Todorovic D. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
Pusi B. 
Gurban G. 
Alcalde J. 
Motpan N. 
Uridia M. 
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