Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	SKA Khabarovsk		Baltika Kaliningrad

	1	X	2
	3.91	3.1	2.07	Watch
	4.33	2.9	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.68)	3 ↓ (3.05)	1.94 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
22.2%

Draw
30.5%

Baltika Kaliningrad
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

30.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

31%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Imamov I. (G) 20. Aliev K. 70. Gadzhimuradov R. 9. Gongadze G. 21. Gurban G. 4. Martinez B. 91. Noskov E. 46. Pershin N. 17. Pokidyshev N. 7. Simonyan A. 44. Zhuravlev Y.	67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. 23. Chernov E. 4. Gassama N. 91. Gil Hurtado B. 8. Mendel A. 10. Petrov I. 73. Petrov M. 17. Saus V. 22. Titkov N. 2. Varatynov S.
Substitutes
6. Bagiev S. 18. Bolataev D. 55. Bykov A. 8. Gagloev A. 11. Gongapshev A. 84. Grebenkin Y. 28. Iosipoi M. 19. Kutovoy M. 1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 79. Pershin D. 14. Quinonez J.	14. Appaev K. 25. Bozov N. 36. Cicillin Andrey 70. Eldarushev A. 6. Isaenko O. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 99. Lisakovich V. 5. Osipov A. 19. Pryakhin S. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.	Talalaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Gongadze G. ⚽,
32', Petrov M. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
45', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Gil Hurtado B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Titkov N. ↓, Lisakovich V. ↑,
47', Andrade K. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Lisakovich V. (Pen),
65', Petrov I. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
65', Gil Hurtado B. ↓, Appaev K. ↑,
67', Osipov A. 🟨,
69', Aliev K. ↓, Gagloev A. ↑,
69', Gurban G. ↓, Quinonez J. ↑,
74', Gadzhimuradov R. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
80', Pryakhin S. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
82', Pershin N. ↓, Kutovoy M. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

SKA Khabarovsk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Baltika will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches SKA Khabarovsk won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 11:24 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Khabarovsk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
29.03.25	Tyumen - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Rotor	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Sochi	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - SKA Khabarovsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWLWW
- Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian FNL
30.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	4:0 ✺
23.03.25	Ufa - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:6 ✺
16.03.25	Tyumen - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rotor	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Baltika Kaliningrad - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
03.11.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
Club Friendly
02.07.24	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:1
Russian FNL
06.03.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
14.08.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2
23.04.22	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	2:0
09.10.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:2
14.03.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0

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