Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Tomares		Atlético Central

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.56	3.07	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.5	2.97	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.97)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)	2.66 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
35.4%

Draw
30.7%

Atlético Central
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.1%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Tomares - Atlético Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Tomares has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tomares won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tomares UD	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.02.26	Pozoblanco - Tomares	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	San Roque de Lepe - Tomares	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Castilleja - Tomares	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cadiz CF B - Tomares	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Ceuta B - Tomares	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWL
- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
15.02.26	Atlético Central - Utrera	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Central - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Linense - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
12.10.25	Atlético Central - Tomares	1:1
02.03.25	Atlético Central - Tomares	1:2
20.10.24	Tomares - Atlético Central	0:0

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