Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Tomares		Gerena

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.95	2.1
	3.5	2.85	1.96
	3.4	2.95	2.02
	3.76	2.91	1.99
	3.65	3.24	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
25.5%

Draw
30%

Gerena
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

29.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

20.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomares, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gerena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tomares - Gerena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gerena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomares won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.02.22	Conil - Tomares	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Tomares - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
09.02.22	Tomares - Cabecense	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Antoniano - Tomares	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Tomares - Ceuta B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWT
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.02.22	Gerena - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
13.02.22	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Cartaya - Gerena	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Gerena - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
19.01.22	Gerena - Puente Genil	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
30.10.21	Gerena - Tomares	1:0

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