Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 3

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)

Referee: Scarascati T. (Bra)


	Tombense		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.48	2.95	2.9
	2.69	3.17	2.9
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.6	3.24	2.75
	2.55	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.98)	3.1 ↑ (3.09)	2.8 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
36.6%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Goianiense
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Goianiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Goianiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Tombense - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Tombense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético GO is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Tombense: Daniel Amorim (Injury) Keke (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Angelo Araos (Injury) Emerson Santos (Red Card)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Tombense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.23	Tombense - Ituano	3:0 ✺
16.04.23	Criciúma - Tombense	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.04.23	Palmeiras - Tombense	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.23	Tombense - Villa Nova AC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLW
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
21.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Atlético Goianiense	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.04.23	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 penalties ✺
02.04.23	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Atlético Goianiense - Aparecidense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW

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