Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)


	Tombense		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.23	3	3.54
	2.23	3	3.54
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.14	3.02	3.36	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.03)	2.96 ↓ (3.25)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
42.2%

Draw
30.8%

Ferroviária
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.2%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

28.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Tombense - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 20. Denner 3. Ednei 6. Emerson 19. Gustavo Modesto 9. Igor Bahia 5. Moises Ribeiro 25. Pedro 2. Pedro Costa 22. Rickson 4. Roger Carvalho (C)	1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 10. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 4. Ronaldo Alves 11. Vitor Barreto 8. Xavier 7. Ze Mateus
Substitutes
12. Davi Schneider (G) 29. Diego Fernandes 13. Iury 7. Jefferson Renan 33. Joao Vitor 16. Marcos Pedro 18. Pierre 10. Rafinha 31. Rony Fernandes 17. Vitinho 30. Wesley 14. Ze Vitor	16. Caua A. 18. Denilson Goulart 12. Leo Wall (G) 17. Luis Henrique 13. Maycon 15. Pablo 14. Paulinho Santos 21. Pedro P. 19. Thomaz Carvalho 20. Victor Andrade 22. Weverton
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Gustavo Modesto 🟨,
27', Ednei 🟨,
28', Ricardinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ricardinho ↓, Pablo ↑,
62', Ze Mateus ↓, Caua A. ↑,
62', Denner ↓, Rafinha ↑,
62', Pedro ↓, Vitinho ↑,
66', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
75', Rickson 🟨,
80', Juninho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
85', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Weverton ↑,
85', Xavier ↓, Paulinho Santos ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Tombense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tombense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
19.05.24	Remo - Tombense	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Confiança - Tombense	0:2 ✺
27.04.24	São Bernardo - Tombense	4:2 ✺
20.04.24	Tombense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWWLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
26.05.24	Figueirense - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Ferroviária - Confiança	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviária	1:4 ✺
28.04.24	CS Alagoano - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWT

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