Match Info

Date: 14 April 2021, Wednesday


	Boa Esporte		Tombense

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.5	2.95	2.1
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.4	2.95	2.1
	3.43	3.12	2.18
	3.4	2.9	2.15
	3.42	3.08	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.04)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boa Esporte
26.5%

Draw
30.4%

Tombense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

21.9%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boa Esporte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boa Esporte - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Mineiro (5thto8th places)).

Boa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tombense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tombense have a series of home games.

Tombense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Boa won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Boa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
11.04.21	URT - Boa Esporte	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Boa Esporte - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
01.04.21	Patrocinense - Boa Esporte	1:0 ✺
18.03.21	Boa Esporte - Uberlândia	1:2 ✺
12.03.21	Boa Esporte - Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
11.04.21	Tombense - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.04.21	Tombense - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
04.04.21	Tombense - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
01.04.21	Cruzeiro - Tombense	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Tombense - Patrocinense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.12.20	Tombense - Boa Esporte	1:1
04.10.20	Boa Esporte - Tombense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
29.01.20	Tombense - Boa Esporte	0:0
Brazilian Serie C
22.08.19	Boa Esporte - Tombense	0:1
22.06.19	Tombense - Boa Esporte	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
23.03.19	Boa Esporte - Tombense	2:1 penalties
10.02.19	Boa Esporte - Tombense	1:0

Boa Esporte - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide