Match Info

Date: 19 September 2021, Sunday


	Tombense		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.75
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.39	3.8	7.8
	1.38	3.7	8.71
	1.4	3.6	8.5
	1.41	4.05	8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (2.04)	3.79 ↑ (2.97)	8.04 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
64.9%

Draw
23.9%

Santa Cruz Recife
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

20.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz Recife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-34.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+24.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tombense - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tombense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tombense is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.09.21	Tombense - Floresta	0:0 ✺
05.09.21	Botafogo PB - Tombense	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Tombense - Manaus	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Tombense	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Altos - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWTT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Altos	0:1 ✺
05.09.21	Paysandu - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
30.08.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
23.08.21	Jacuipense - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.07.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Tombense	0:1

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