Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.55	3.45	5.7	Watch
	1.58	3.65	6.16
	1.47	3.47	9.29	Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.53	3.58	6.02	Watch
	1.76	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	6.09 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
58.7%

Draw
26.2%

Tombense
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Botafogo PB - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Botafogo PB will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo PB will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 15. Cassio Gabriel 99. Denilson 22. Erick 18. Evandro 19. Gabriel Honorio 8. Igor Maduro 34. Marcelo Augusto 11. Rodrigo Alves 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar (C)	1. Matheus Aurelio (C) 11. Anderson Ligeiro 5. Claudinei 6. Dudu Mandai 8. Fabricio Dias 4. Fernando 10. Jefferson Renan 2. Julio Henrique 7. Pedro Oliveira 9. Rafhael Lucas 3. Wesley
Substitutes
26. Caio Garcia 10. Camilo 6. Felippe Borges 5. Gama 21. Guilherme Silveira 9. Henrique Dourado 28. Lucas Balardin 30. Riquelmo 14. Robles Fuentes A. 88. Silvinho 12. Wallace (G) 2. Ynaia	20. Adson 14. Andre Cardoso 13. Breno Roma 18. Cleiton 12. Douglas Marques (G) 15. Joao Vitor 19. Jupi 16. Kaike 17. Vasconcelos H. 23. Vinicius Dias (G)
Coaches
Evaristo Piza	Marcelo Chamusca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Erick 🟨,
61', Igor Maduro 🟨,
63', Denilson ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
63', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Riquelmo ↑,
63', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Silvinho ↑,
69', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Breno Roma ↑,
69', Rafhael Lucas ↓, Jupi ↑,
69', 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Silvinho ⚽,
80', Igor Maduro ↓, Caio Garcia ↑,
85', Claudinei ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
85', Dudu Mandai ↓, Kaike ↑,
88', Cassio Gabriel ↓, Camilo ↑,
89', Julio Henrique ↓, Cleiton ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Botafogo PB has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tombense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tombense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botafogo PB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
18.08.25	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Botafogo PB - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Ituano - Botafogo PB	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLLW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
18.08.25	Tombense - Caxias	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Floresta - Tombense	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	São Bernardo - Tombense	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Tombense - Maringá	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Confiança - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
19.08.24	Tombense - Botafogo PB	1:2
05.09.21	Botafogo PB - Tombense	1:1
03.07.21	Tombense - Botafogo PB	2:0
Copa do Brasil
28.02.19	Tombense - Botafogo PB	2:3 penalties

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