Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Referee: Nogueira Prado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Tombense		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.63	3.5	5	Watch
	1.66	3.55	5.75
	1.66	3.47	5.75
	1.55	3.5	5
	1.61	3.5	5.26	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	5.28 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
56.5%

Draw
26.2%

Floresta
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

28.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tombense - Floresta Predictions

Users Predictions: Tombense will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 6. Emerson 9. Igor Bahia 8. Kaio Mendes 15. Mikael 2. Pedro Costa 18. Pierre 10. Rafinha 22. Rickson 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 31. Rony Fernandes	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 23. Buba 16. Davi Castro 31. Icaro 7. Jean Silva 3. Lucas Santos 21. Marcelo (C) 4. Ricardo Lima 11. Romarinho 2. Watson 10. Wescley
Substitutes
34. Abreu T. 12. Davi Schneider (G) 20. Denner 29. Diego Fernandes 11. Felipinho 19. Gustavo Modesto 13. Iury 23. Jean (G) 7. Jefferson Renan 33. Joao Vitor 25. Pedro 14. Ze Vitor	14. Alisson 26. Arilson 22. Cesar (G) 25. Emerson Carioca 29. Esquerdinha 5. Jo 19. Lohan 8. Lucas Alisson 15. Para 20. Vitinho 17. Willian Oliveira
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Marcelo Cabo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽,
44', Romarinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Davi Castro ↓, Para ↑,
47', Buba 🟨,
53', Rickson ↓, Pedro ↑,
66', Buba ↓, Lohan ↑,
68', Lucas Santos 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Igor Bahia ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Igor Bahia ⚽,
79', Marcelo ↓, Jo ↑,
79', Romarinho ↓, Emerson Carioca ↑,
82', Igor Bahia ↓, Jefferson Renan ↑,
82', Kaio Mendes ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
84', Wescley ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
86', Pierre 🟨,
88', Pierre ↓, Denner ↑,
88', Rafinha ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+10', Joao Vitor 🟨,
90+12', Watson 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Tombense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
15.06.24	Aparecidense - Tombense	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Ypiranga - Tombense	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Tombense - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Remo - Tombense	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Tombense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTTW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
17.06.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	0:1 ✺
10.06.24	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	ABC - Floresta	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
20.05.24	Floresta - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.09.21	Tombense - Floresta	0:0
11.07.21	Floresta - Tombense	1:1

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