Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)


	Santa Cruz Recife		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	2.85	4.1
	1.92	2.78	4.35	Watch
	1.96	2.97	4.98
	2.1	2.46	5.34
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	1.91	2.68	4.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)	4.59 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
46.8%

Draw
33.3%

Volta Redonda
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

36%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 30. Jefferson Bahia 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 26. Silva 23. Tiago Marques 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves 31. Ze Mario	1. Avelino (G) 13. Alan 5. Bruno Barra (C) 29. Caetano 8. Dener 6. Jean Victor 10. Luciano Naninho 11. MV 17. Wagninho 2. Wellington Silva 9. Ygor Catatau
Substitutes
6. Alex Ruan 15. Andrey 27. Edson Miranda 28. Eron 7. Fabinho 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 8. Leo Costa 29. Marcos Andre 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 19. Renato 11. Robinho	19. Blanco O. 18. Caio Henrique 45. Deivity (G) 4. Fabricio 20. Fellipinho 25. Juliano Fabro 30. Juninho Ramos 7. Marquinhos 14. Rafael Castro
Coaches
Cristian Souza	Jorge M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ze Mario ⚽,
11', Bruno Barra 🟥,
19', Everaldo 🟨,
34', MV 🟨,
43', Eurico 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Everaldo ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
46', Eurico ↓, Edson Miranda ↑,
56', Wagninho 🟨,
57', Caetano ↓, Fabricio ↑,
57', Luciano Naninho ↓, Fellipinho ↑,
61', Silva ↓, Fabinho ↑,
63', Fabinho 🟨,
73', Alan 🟨,
75', MV ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
75', Ygor Catatau ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Marcos Andre ⚽,
82', Marcos Andre 🟨,
83', Vitinho 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santa Cruz has had a series of away games.

Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
11.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLLT
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Volta Redonda - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.26	Volta Redonda - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Caxias - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.04.26	Maranhão - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.08.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Volta Redonda	2:1

Upcoming Matches