Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 40

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.15	3.3	2.88
	2.23	3.41	3.1
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.22	3.32	3.1
	2.27	3.15	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.67)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)	3.03 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
41.9%

Draw
28%

Hungerford Town
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tonbridge Angels's form might have worsened.

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hungerford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hungerford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tonbridge will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Hungerford will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tonbridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tonbridge is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
18.03.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Eastbourne Borough - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Tonbridge Angels - Taunton Town	2:3 ✺
28.02.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TTWLW
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
18.03.23	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Weymouth - Hungerford Town	2:5 ✺
11.03.23	Slough Town - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
07.03.23	Hungerford Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.12.22	Hungerford Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
08.01.22	Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town	2:1
28.08.21	Hungerford Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:3
10.10.20	Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town	0:2
15.02.20	Tonbridge Angels - Hungerford Town	1:1
03.12.19	Hungerford Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0

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