Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 39

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Hungerford Town		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.37
	2.5	3	2.65
	2.89	3.25	2.48
	2.75	3.2	2.38
	2.79	3.24	2.45
	2.7	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.47 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hungerford Town
33.8%

Draw
29.1%

Braintree Town
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Hungerford Town - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 3.

Recent matches Hungerford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Braintree is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hungerford won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hungerford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hungerford Town
English National League South
14.03.23	Weymouth - Hungerford Town	2:5 ✺
11.03.23	Slough Town - Hungerford Town	4:0 ✺
07.03.23	Hungerford Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Worthing - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLTTL
- Braintree Town
English National League South
14.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Braintree Town - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
07.03.23	Oxford City - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.11.22	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	3:2
19.02.22	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
12.10.21	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:0
07.11.20	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	1:2
22.02.20	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	2:0
02.11.19	Braintree Town - Hungerford Town	0:3
07.04.18	Hungerford Town - Braintree Town	0:1

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