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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC 47.5%
Draw 24.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
25.9%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Toronto FC - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 48.9% โ 84.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Toronto has the most likely position - 12 (20.06%), has project points - 40, has currently - 33, has a small chance of playoffs (10%), has not chance of first-round bye, has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
LA Galaxy has the most likely position - 4 (21.98%), has project points - 49, has currently - 37, has a good chance of playoffs (81%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality41, small importance18, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 4.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
LA Galaxy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Toronto will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Villafana J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Kaye M.
(Injury)
Westberg Q.
(Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Toronto won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-7.