The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC 40%
Draw 27.6%
DC United 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
26.4%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
26.4%
32.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Toronto FC - DC United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). DC United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 35.9% โ 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - DC United (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - DC United (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 6. Thompson K. 5. Long K. 17. Rosted S. 10. Bernardeschi F. 14. Coello A. 24. Insigne L. 20. Flores D. 28. Petretta R. 9. Brynhildsen O. 7. Corbeanu T.
13. Barraza L. (G) 12. Antley C. 3. Bartlett L. 15. Rowles K. 22. Herrera A. 6. Boris Enow 23. Servania B. 28. Schnegg D. 8. Stroud J. 20. Benteke C. 77. Kijima H.
Substitutes
23. Dominguez M. 11. Etienne D. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 8. Longstaff M. 12. Monlouis Z. 38. Sharp C. 16. Spicer T. 76. Stefanovic L.
99. Barajas F. 18. Dodson D. 19. Karamoko H. 1. Kim J. (G) 11. Leal R. 17. Murrell J. 4. Peltola M. 16. Tubbs G. 44. Zouhir R.
Coaches
Fraser R.
Lesesne T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Insigne L. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
63', Kijima H. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
63', Stroud J. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Bartlett L. (Own goal),
71', Boris Enow ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
71', Antley C. ↓, Zouhir R. ↑,
73', Coello A. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
73', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
81', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
82', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
85', Servania B. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
90+1', Dominguez M. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
DC United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Toronto: Etienne D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Kerr D.
(Ankle Injury)
Laryea R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Osorio J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in DC United: Bartlett L.
(Calf Injury)
Gabriel Pirani
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:39. (average 1.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.2:1.6).