Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 8h 24m 📅 Remind Me

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	19:30	RDS App, RDS Info, TSN 3
Usa	19:30	MLS Season Pass
International	23:30	Apple TV International


	Toronto FC		DC United

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.7	Watch
	1.93	3.80	3.40
	1.92	3.6	3.55
	1.97	3.97	3.67
	1.96	4.04	3.39	Watch
	1.93	3.85	3.55
	2	3.98	3.57	Watch
	1.99	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	3.84 ↓ (3.9)	3.52 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
48.6%

Draw
24.6%

DC United
26.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

24%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

23.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Toronto FC - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 11th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.

Toronto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

DC United has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

DC United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Toronto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Toronto: Franklin K. (Shoulder Injury) Palacio N. (Lower-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for DC United: Munteanu L. (Leg Injury) Segal G. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Gomis N. (Calf Injury) Zimmerman W. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for DC United: Hopkins J. (Ankle Injury) Kijima H. (Leg Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:38 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 21:15 goals (averaging 2.1:1.5 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Toronto FC: 0.69% DC United: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
24.10.26	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	4:2 ✺
17.10.26	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Toronto FC - Orlando City	3:3 ✺
10.10.26	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWL
- DC United
MLS
24.10.26	DC United - Cincinnati	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Orlando City - DC United	4:1 ✺
14.10.26	DC United - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Inter Miami - DC United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.07.26	DC United - Toronto FC	2:1
10.05.25	Toronto FC - DC United	2:0
22.02.25	DC United - Toronto FC	2:2
31.08.24	Toronto FC - DC United	1:3
01.06.24	DC United - Toronto FC	2:2
27.05.23	Toronto FC - DC United	2:1
25.02.23	DC United - Toronto FC	3:2

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