The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Kansas City 23.5%
Draw 24.2%
Los Angeles Galaxy 52.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
25.2%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
25.1%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
16.7%
75%
Sporting Kansas City - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for LA Galaxy: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cleveland S. (G) 8. Davis J. 2. James I. 28. Meyer W. 99. Reid J. 11. Harris C. 22. Bassong Z. 4. Johnsen L. 7. Capita 19. Calheira T. 9. Joveljic D. (C)
12. Marcinkowski J. (G) 19. Cuevas M. 5. Glesnes J. 25. Garces C. 14. Nelson J. 8. Sanabria L. 6. Cerrillo E. 11. Gabriel Pec 18. Reus M. (C) 26. Miller H. 28. Paintsil J.
Substitutes
17. Afrifa S. 16. Bartlett J. 23. Bartlow E. 57. Diego Borges 6. Garcia M. 1. Pulskamp J. (G) 13. Reynolds J. 93. Suleymanov S. 14. Tschantret M.
15. Haak J. 9. Matheus Nascimento 1. Micovic N. (G) 16. Parente I. 24. Ramos R. 27. Thommy E. 22. Wynder E. 2. Yamane M. 4. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Wicky R.
Vanney G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Capita ⚽, Harris C. (A),
41', Bassong Z. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Joveljic D. ⚽, Harris C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Capita ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
46', Miller H. ↓, Wynder E. ↑,
49', Cuevas M. 🟨,
61', Bassong Z. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
62', Calheira T. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
64', Sanabria L. ↓, Thommy E. ↑,
64', Garces C. ↓, Haak J. ↑,
65', Cuevas M. ↓, Yamane M. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Harris C. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
75', Reus M. ↓, Matheus Nascimento ↑,
80', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
81', Davis J. ↓, Reynolds J. ↑,
89', 3 - 1, Gabriel Pec ⚽, Haak J. (A),
90+2', Joveljic D. ↓, Suleymanov S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2.
Kansas City has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
LA Galaxy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Kansas City has had a series of away games.
LA Galaxy might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kansas City: Agyabeng K.
(Groin Injury)
Diego Borges
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Aude J.
(Ankle Injury)
Joao Klauss
(Foot Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Muscle Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Miller J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Reynolds J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Kansas City - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.55%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.