Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday


	Toronto FC II		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.8	3.4	2.3
	2.39	3.2	2.55
	2.49	3.37	2.64
	2.5	3.28	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.22)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	2.54 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC II
36.3%

Draw
27.7%

Forward Madison
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

19.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto FC II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forward Madison could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toronto FC II - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Forward Madison could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forward Madison have a series of home games.

Forward Madison will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Toronto II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Toronto II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC II
USL League One
11.09.21	Union Omaha - Toronto FC II	2:1 ✺
03.09.21	Greenville Triumph - Toronto FC II	3:0 ✺
27.08.21	Toronto FC II - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:0 ✺
18.08.21	Forward Madison - Toronto FC II	2:2 ✺
06.08.21	Toronto FC II - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTW
- Forward Madison
USL League One
11.09.21	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
25.08.21	North Carolina - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
21.08.21	Forward Madison - North Texas	1:1 ✺
18.08.21	Forward Madison - Toronto FC II	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Forward Madison - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
18.08.21	Forward Madison - Toronto FC II	2:2
31.07.19	Toronto FC II - Forward Madison	1:4
28.06.19	Toronto FC II - Forward Madison	1:1

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