Match Info

USL League One

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forward Madison		Richmond Kickers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.40	4.25	6.25
	1.45	4.48	6.06
	1.4	4.74	6.85	Watch
	1.43	4.40	6.00
	1.54	4.17	5.48	Watch
	1.42	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)	4.38 ↑ (3.5)	6.06 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forward Madison
63.9%

Draw
20.9%

Richmond Kickers
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

Richmond Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richmond Kickers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forward Madison (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Forward Madison will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harms J. (G) 23. Munjoma E. 20. Carmichael K. 33. Toure K. (C) 4. McCamy C. 6. Kanyane G. 9. Carmichael R. 12. Torres R. 16. Castro J. 7. Bolma J. 14. Gyamfi S.	1. Fillion Y. (G) 4. Layton S. 22. Vinberg S. 34. Howell B. 26. Murana M. 12. O'Malley O. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 99. Moore D. 11. Pannholzer T. 9. Kirkland J. 19. Espinal D.
Substitutes
3. Edwards A. 99. Flores K. (G) 24. Forbes J. 28. Hildal J. 21. Karamoko H. 19. Manske T. (G) 18. Romanshyn K. 8. Segbers M. 5. Shannon J.	18. Amer A. 3. Anderson H. 32. Bolduc M. 23. Freeman T. 44. Gallegos A. 7. Johnson L. 41. Richman A. 35. Sneddon J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Fillion Y. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Toure K. ⚽,
42', Barnathan D. 🟨,
43', O'Malley O. 🟨,
45+2', Pannholzer T. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Toure K. ⚽, Kanyane G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Murana M. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
46', O'Malley O. ↓, Richman A. ↑,
46', Anderson H. 🟨,
60', 3 - 0, Carmichael R. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
62', Espinal D. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
63', Gyamfi S. 🟨,
65', 4 - 0, Gyamfi S. ⚽, Carmichael R. (A),
66', Bolma J. ↓, Edwards A. ↑,
66', Carmichael R. ↓, Karamoko H. ↑,
70', Kirkland J. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
75', Barnathan D. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
80', Kanyane G. ↓, Forbes J. ↑,
80', Carmichael K. ↓, Shannon J. ↑,
82', Howell B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 2.

Forward Madison is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Richmond Kickers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.

In this match, Forward Madison is considered a favorite.

We predict that Forward Madison will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30:60	-30	23

Last Results with these Odds

Richmond Kickers - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.03%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forward Madison
USL Cup
11.07.26	Forward Madison - Union Omaha	4:3 ✺
USL League One
01.07.26	Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Forward Madison - New York Cosmos	3:1 ✺
17.06.26	Forward Madison - Fort Wayne	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Forward Madison - Boise	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWTW
- Richmond Kickers
USL Cup
11.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 ✺
USL League One
03.07.26	Richmond Kickers - Sarasota Paradise	0:0 ✺
24.06.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Richmond Kickers	5:1 ✺
20.06.26	Richmond Kickers - Fort Wayne	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Corpus Christi - Richmond Kickers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
25.10.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	5:1
13.09.25	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	1:0
29.03.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2
03.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	2:1
13.04.24	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	2:2
14.09.23	Forward Madison - Richmond Kickers	2:0
05.08.23	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2

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